Sunday, July 13, 2014

FDI in Insurance ? Why not IDI ?

FDI in Insurance ?    Why not IDI ?

As a young college student I used to read Dale Carnegie. In one of his books he said this  "" Insurance is a bet on your life. You say you will die. The insurance company says you will not."". Not much has changed since then about insurance. The companies use the same strategies and the people approach them with the same fear.

A decade back, I asked  an employee how life  insurance companies make money.  He looked up at me and remarked in a surprised manner  " you are one of the few people who have asked this question. Tell me what you do with the life insurance policies"

I  did not understand. "What do you mean ? With the policies or my relationship with the company?"

My friend smiled. " I mean everything. What do you do with insurance ?"

"After I signed up for a policy, I pay the premiums on time. That is all." I said.

My friend's mouth widened into a grin now. " What about others ?"

" Are you teasing me ?" I protested. "Probably everyone on this planet are doing pretty the same as me."

" Then you already know  what we in the insurance industry are doing."

I stared at him" What do you mean ?"

"If you customers continue to pay, what we do in the  insurance company ?" His look was mischievous.

I groped for a few seconds and then said " You are simply collecting, then ?"

My friend came closer and said " Congratulations. You are now one of the handful who have cracked the insurance working code"

I was still unclear. " Do you mean to say you do no other thing ? You need to pay the claims and you need to settle the maturity amount"

" Easy easy dear. The period of a policy is usually eternity in money circles. It is raw money which simply accumulates with an insurance companies. The companies pay a return of between six to eight percent in simple interest to the person at the end of the policy. Rest all is theirs."

"Then the claims ?" Now  I was not sure whether this would pin him down.

My friend now assumed a serious face and shot back. " You be my teacher now. Tell me how many accidents or sudden deaths occur out of the total number of insurers in a year ?"

I remained silent for a whole moment . The answer was clear. My friend now spoke for me " yes, we are simple collecting agencies"

In the intervening period, the insurance industry has grown very big in India. There are so many big names. My favourite has always been LIC. That it has survived ten years of UPA onslaught itself is a big tribute .  I have a low trust level for others.

Now for this 2014 budget. Jaitley said that he is going to allow FDI - Foreign Direct Investment in this sector. I called up my friend again.

 " Saw the news ?" I asked.

" Good for the foreign firms. Bad for the country and investors" My friend was real sober now.

"Really ? How ?"

" Imagine you are the Finance minister. In which sectors will you invite FDI ?"


" If we need investment in a sector, it must be either fund starved or technically weak . Now I am talking of the big scenario. If I were the FM, I will invite FDI in Aircraft manufacture, Solar energy, wind energy, fuel cells, safe nuclear energy, telecommunication equipment, shipping etc"

" Why not in banking or Insurance ? " My friend pressed further.

" Because we are not lacking in these fields. Further , these fields do not need any technology. The only thing is proper administration. We are as efficient as others."

"Now tell me why we do need FDI in these sectors? . Insurance fund is simply profit.  The companies pay the insured person the returns on the profit. Look at how big LIC has grown. The collection of money with them is huge. The FDI talk is merely for the control over this money. The person with control cal do anything. " My friend said, seeking to conclude.

"You mean this money wil ne taken out of the country ? "

" It is the biggest fear of all concerned people in the domestic Insurance Industry"

 "But the FM may justify we also need money for these sectors." I pointed out.

" Then the money can come from domestic market itself. Ask your FM to release an advertisement for bonds at 9% per annum for insurance industry and the issue will be oversubscribed hundreds of times."

" Do you mean Indian Direct Investment" ? I now was satisfied I had coined a new phrase for posterity.

" Exactly."  My frinend hung up.











Monday, March 31, 2014

THE SENSEX HAS HIT A HIGH. WHAT DO I DO NOW ?

The sensex has hit a high, a record high this time. Many a person who had invested in it long back will be full of smiles and goes to town with his story and how smart he was. His family, kith and kin , friends and society are in awe of him and want to emulate his success.

Predictably, many people enter stock market. These people bring small sums and buy popular stocks at a already high price. The demand drives these stocks further higher. Many a financial institution or mutual fund advisor will tell all to hold to their stocks as the long term prospect is rosier.

And then an unpredictable thing happens. The market crashes. Crashes unbelievably losing several thousand points in a single day. The entire money invested by the new investors goes into thin air.The prime minister will say he will look into the causes, the Finance minister gives many reasons in a language and style that  no one can understand a thing . Industry leaders and financial institutions aver that the economy is sound and no cause is there for an alarm. The lay investor is left wounded and betrayed, and vows never to return to the stock trade. They sell off whatever stock they have for a pittance and quit.

Many a family is left devastated as their life saving has evaporated right in front of their eyes. The share market limps back to some normalcy. Many financial institutions mow start buying and the sensex raises slowly. In a year it manages to establish a stable graph without any fluctuations. Now it is three years and the sensex sees good activity. The stock markets are booming. The economic condition was the same as the last crash but, the mutual funds buy stocks like crazy saying it is the safest investment. The share prices rise phenominally and some small and sundry investors who held onto their shares despite losses gain handsomely.

These people go to town selling their 'success story'. These stories are picked up by the business and financial magazines for a front page news and, a new trend starts emerging. People regain their confidence in their stock market and start buying in trickles. This then becomes a large stream flooding the stock market. This is the money saved by a school teacher, a house maid, a bank clerk and a bus driver. Some people buy stocks directly. There are many other gullible people who are afraid of stocks . They think they are smart and end up buying   things like mutual funds, equity based insurance, tax free deposit scheme. They never imagined that they have the same vulnerability as stocks.

No one is in doubt as the market zooms. The mutual funds recruit more MBA s and send them into the market to sell their financial products. The stocks are rising further. No one has noticed the fact that in the last three years no new venture has started , or that the housing sector is in doldrums due to lack of new customers, or the fact that the IT sector is retrenching their employees in thousands, or the fact that the placements in campus interviews are slipping to a new low. The new investors have not even noticed that the Auto majors are in severe shock following a slump in sales. Who will know that most of their so called sales are simply despatches to their dealers ?

A innocent person who got a new employment as a financial advisor (since he sells mutual funds), even prints pamphlets at his own costs to show how even a few thousands now in his mutual funds will grow thousand fold in twenty years. His competetors want to do one step better and their agents print their own version of success and send them through morning newspapers, emails and websites.

Now the market is on a crescendo attracting many new sectors of investors. Stocks of unheard of companies are at a record high. The stock lanb is ripe enough for a feast.

And then an unexpected crash happens. The financial institututions suddenly 'book profit'. Not one company but a whole herd of them sell in a single day taking all the profits along. The whole stock market is devastated. The saving of millions of innocent Indians vaporizes. But this is news for only a few weeks as the newspapers and channels look for more spicy and hotter political and cine subjects to entertain the masses.

See a familiar trend ? The next cycle of climb and crash may be timed after three or four years. A new generation of people will be targeted this time too.

But, you may be asking me , how to buck this trend ? At the same time , you may ask "how to earn good returns on my money ?"

Consider these points.

1. When is the best time for entering the stock market and buying the stocks?

It is the same time as the instituitional thieves enter it. Right after a crash. The stocks will be the lowest then. Try this you will never be beaten.

2. When is the apt tiime  to sell my shares ?

Again when the thieves are preparing to sell. Just as the market is soaring, time your stocks and sell. Always sell at the peak.

3. I hate stock market and mutual funds as I have been betrayed by them. What I should do ?

Take any share at an average of eight years. Compare its price then and now. In the same period, a fixed deposit would have doubled. It has full liquidity, zero fear, and maximum safety. Only gold matches its safety and liquidity.

4. How do I invest in trickles and still save and earn ?

Always patronize Recurring deposit schemes of banks. Invest for one year and on maturity convert the proceeds to Fixed Deposit. Now, one can do all this online also at your leisure time. If you start saving Rs 500 per month for the  years 25 to 45. Your return at the time of your retirement will touch a crore rupees ! Is it not attractive ? Besides, it is the safest investment. You do not steal another's money as in stock trade. All the money invested by you is being used to loan to industries contributing to long term growth of the economy.

5. What do you say of the Stock trade ?

It is a sickening one. Quit it like poison.

Venkatasubramanian J


Monday, September 24, 2012

USELESS MUTUAL FUNDS


In the past twenty years or so, mutual funds have caught our attention. Especially in the last decade these funds have been very actively canvassing for investment from the ndian public. The surplus income of the Indian middle class has been the target of the mutual funds and they have succeeded enormously in attracting them.

Even LIC of India has ventured into mutual funds and launched some fund schemes. Its Market Plus, Bima Plus, and Money plus are some famous ones.

For starters, mutual funds invest money into the equity market and share the income from the share trade with their investors. Some funds invest in a combination of debt funds and equity. All mutual funds charge their customers for managing their funds. Plus they penalize a customer for withdrawiing money before the lock-in period of the fund.

The attractive tag of the mutual funds has been the  claim that there is no Tax Deduction at source and that the investors get a windfall.

My question is this: How many mutual funds have earned good money for their investors ? The most glaring example has been LIC 's money plus. It was a flop of gigantic proportions. Investment poured in thousands of crores worth of money into this and after six years has given a growth of 47 % where as even a fixed deposit in a post office would have fetched 80% returns in six years. Many funds have been simply disasters.

Mutual fund companies hire smart looking MBA s who paint a rosy  picture of their company. All of them are very highly paid and their salaries and perks have to come from the investors only. They continue to thrive well at the expense of the investors while the investors are left in the lurch. The input load and exit load of mutual funds point only to this.

In the three major stock scams, the biggest beneficiaries have been some  mutual funds.  I desist from naming them, but, any  competent browser of the internet will get details.Harshad Mehta and Ketan Parikh have simply been the scapegoats while the biggest profiteers were these mutual funds. As expected, they got away scot free. But, this scam money went into their scoffers and never reached their investors.

Share trading is a dangerous game. How a share fluctuates within a day is a mystery. Those who invest may never know the company's performance before trading its share. It has become a blind game while the real strings are pulled by the mutual fund companies. They can swing the sensex up or down in a matter of weeks. But everything is done for fattening their own wallets. The investors are treated like dust.

I urge my reader to select some famous mutual fund companies and after logging into their websites, to take note of the performance of their prominent funds. For example, take a block of ten thousand rupees and calculate how much it would have fetched you in a give period of time , say eight years from the year 2006 onwards.

Now compare how much you would have got if you had invested the same in a post office deposit. You would have made a profit of 100 % or Rupees ten thousand in these years.

Thursday, September 13, 2012

THE BEST INVESTMENT PLAN EVER


Namaste All.

These years have been difficult. Especially for the common man of India. The earning he gets is in serious jeopardy. Jeopardy ?? yes, I mean it.  I am now proposing to the average , hardworking , common man a wonderful investment scheme that will beat any current schemes by a margin of ten to one.

You might be now thinking that I am pitching for some wonder investment scheme that will change your life forever with an one time investment. Or maybe a mutual fund type Or even insurance linked ones. A big no.

I am taking you to the basics.  Indians have been prudent saving people from time immemorial. They lived comfortably with what they got and still saved for themselves and posterity. The gold possession of Indians is the single glaring example.

But, of late , in the last two decades, I believe we have lost our tracks. We are now investing in useless insurance schemes and mutual funds. I am proposing a simple , age old  saving system which beats all these and earns for you ten times and more.

It is called SMALL SAVING. To invest in small saving, all one needs is a nationalized bank or post office nearby. I suggest one person save Rs 400 per month and put it in a recurring deposit (or cumulative deposit scheme). At the end of the year he will have about Rs 5,000.00 including the interest he got from the one year scheme. Let us assume the person is 18 when he first makes the deposit. The person has to continue his saving every month and at the end of every year he has to open a fixed deposit of Rs 5000.00 He can continue this for about 32 years ( till he is 50) and then stop. In between he has to renew the deposits as and when they mature. This is all he has to do as investment.

Can you imagine what that person is going to get ? Well, there are options. If he thinks he needs money every year, then he will get Rs 80,000.00 (eighty thousands) every year from his 49 th year till his 81 st year. The total amount is a whopping twenty four lakhs.

Or if he can wait till his 55 th year, then he will get Rs 1,60,000.00 (one lakh sixty thousand ) per year till he is 87 years. Returns total fifty one lakhs.

Or he can choose to get Rs 3,20,000.00 (three lakh twenty thousands) every year from his 62 nd year to 94 years , Returns then will be Rs One crore.

You will be amazed. How is it possible ?  Is it some con operation ? No. It is legitimate. It operates on a simple principle. Money doubles in seven and half years. This scheme is offered by banks and postal department. One can buy Indira Vikas patra, NSC or go in for a fixed deposit with the bank. You invested only Rs 1,60,000.00 in thirty two years and you can get a return of sixty times on your investment. I have given a simple table below to illustrate this.. One needs to go to the bank for only one hour per month to accomplish this. In the bank he will do this.

1. Pay Rs 400.00 for the recurring deposit.
2. renew the deposits for another period of seven and half years.

It is the best pension scheme I can think of.

One can think of variants inside this and can chart out his own scheme. But the results are astonishing .

Venkat


year
regular deposit
return 1
return 2
return 3
return 4
return 5


18
5000







19
5000







20
5000







21
5000







22
5000







23
5000







24
5000







25
5000
10000






26
5000
10000






27
5000
10000






28
5000
10000






29
5000
10000






30
5000
10000






31
5000
10000






33
5000
10000
20000





35
5000
10000
20000





36
5000
10000
20000





37
5000
10000
20000





38
5000
10000
20000





40
5000
10000
20000





41
5000
10000
20000





42
5000
10000
20000
40000




43
5000
10000
20000
40000




44
5000
10000
20000
40000




45
5000
10000
20000
40000




46
5000
10000
20000
40000




47
5000
10000
20000
40000




48
5000
10000
20000
40000




49
5000
10000
20000
40000
80000



50
5000
10000
20000
40000
80000



51

10000
20000
40000
80000



52

10000
20000
40000
80000



53

10000
20000
40000
80000



54

10000
20000
40000
80000



55

10000
20000
40000
80000
160000


56

10000
20000
40000
80000
160000


57

10000
20000
40000
80000
160000


58

10000
20000
40000
80000
160000


59


20000
40000
80000
160000


60


20000
40000
80000
160000


61


20000
40000
80000
160000


62


20000
40000
80000
160000


63


20000
40000
80000
160000
3200000

64


20000
40000
80000
160000
3200000

65


20000
40000
80000
160000
3200000

66



40000
80000
160000
3200000

67



40000
80000
160000
3200000

68



40000
80000
160000
3200000

69



40000
80000
160000
3200000

70



40000
80000
160000
3200000

71



40000
80000
160000
3200000

72



40000
80000
160000
3200000

73



40000
80000
160000
3200000

74




80000
160000
3200000

75




80000
160000
3200000

76




80000
160000
3200000

77




80000
160000
3200000

78




80000
160000
3200000

79




80000
160000
3200000

80




80000
160000
3200000

81




80000
160000
3200000

82





160000
3200000

83





160000
3200000

84





160000
3200000

85





160000
3200000

86





160000
3200000

87





160000
3200000

88





160000
3200000

89








90


























total invetsed
160000


total  income

 1   crore